Bitcoin’s “big bull market catalyst” may be the next Fed chairman

The Federal Reserve Chairman has become a nuclear bomb-level catalyst in the crypto market?

Brothers, today we are talking about something exciting – do you know what Wall Street bosses are most concerned about now?It’s not inflation data, nor corporate financial reports,The next Fed chairman!Why?Because this matter may directly determine whether Bitcoin can reach US$200,000!

Yesterday, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz threw a deep water bomb on the oil pipe:“If Trump nominates a super dove to take over the Fed, it will be the most powerful bull catalyst ever for Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market!”

This is not a casual talk.Novogratz directly gives the price forecast:Bitcoin may soar to $200,000!But he changed his tone and added a heart-wrenching sentence: “But if this is the case, it would be terrible for the US economy…”

1. Why can the Fed change its coach?

First give your brothers a background: the current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will be in officeEnded in May 2026Trump has long said he wanted to replace him, and he is likely to nominate in advance, and may even “understood” Powell.Currently, the list of candidates has been reduced from more than ten people to“Choose one of three”:

• Christopher Waller: Current Fed Director, odds30%First

• Kevin Hassett: White House Economic Commission Director, Trump’s hardcore ally

• Kevin Warsh: Former Fed director, repeated positions

The key point is here!All three of them belong to the “dove camp”, advocates interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy.But Novogratz emphasized in particular-If the “extreme dove” comes to power, the market will be turned upside down!

How do dovish power pushes up Bitcoin?Three major logics:

1. The water drain gate is wide open: Dove Presidents will promoteRadical interest rate cuts, and even restarted quantitative easing (QE), resulting in the flood of US dollar liquidity.Nowhere to go for money?Bitcoin has become a “flood discharge pool”.

2. Anti-inflation narrative restarts: The big release of money will inevitably cause inflation concerns.Bitcoin21 million fixed supply, instantly transformed into “digital gold” and attracted funds to hedge against the depreciation of fiat currency.

3. Risk preference soars: In a low interest rate environment, treasury bonds and savings income are better than nothing.Funds are forced to turnHigh-risk, high-return assets——Bitcoin is the first to be hit.

2. 200,000 US dollars?Novogratz’s crazy deduction

The original words of Novogratz are:“If the Fed cut interest rates when it shouldn’t be cut and appoints dovish chairpersons, Bitcoin will usher in the ‘last explosive rise’!”

Why can it reach 200,000?The core lies in “narrative fission”:

• Bitcoin has exceeded 110,000 US dollars, which is based onSpot ETF institutions enterandHalf cycle

• If superimposedFed policy shift, will attractTraditional financial giantLarge-scale allocation to completely break the balance of supply and demand

• Liquidity premium + inflation panic + FOMO sentimentThe price space is difficult to estimate

History has long given hints:

• The Fed cut interest rates three times in 2019, BitcoinFrom $3,500 to $13,000(271% increase)

• The epidemic situation in 2020 is booming, BitcoinSoaring from $3,800 to 64,000(Advanced by 1584%)

And this time, the organization has more ammunition: giants such as BlackRock and Fidelity have built channels,Only “loose east wind”.

3. The hidden worries behind carnival: the price of the United States

Novogratz shook his head and sighed while predicting $200,000:“Did I hope it happen? No! Because I love America.”

The “side effects” of dovish chairman are extremely fatal:

• Loss of independence of the Federal Reserve: If the chairman becomes a political vassal and wants to please the White House, it will destroy the reputation of the central bank

• Risk of hyperinflation: Currently, US inflation is still above 3%, rash interest rate cuts may cause prices to get out of control

• Asset bubble burst: If the policy reverses after a short-term carnival,Bitcoin may be cut in half again

Even the number one candidate Waller warned: policy mustBased on economic data rather than political pressure——Unfortunately, what Trump wants is exactly the “obedient chairman”.

4. Opportunities are right in front of you, but don’t all in, remember the three camp rules

1. Keep a close eye on the candidates to express their opinions: If Waller is elected (the highest probability), the market will have a relatively mild reaction; if Hassett, the “Trump direct lineage” will come to power,Bet Bitcoin now

2. Pay attention to the stablecoin indicator: The total market value of stablecoins (such as USDT, USDC) is the leading indicator.As long as the growth continues, it means that the funds are still entering the market

3. Do a good job in volatility management: After the interest rate cut is implemented, “buy expectations and sell facts” often appear, and a short-term plunge of 30% is not impossible.

Historical rules: The market is often under pressure 3 months before the nomination of a new chairman; 3 months after the nomination, risk appetite rebounds.The time window is right in front of you!

5. One big gamble, two fates

Novogratz’s prophecy is essentially a question of the foundation of the US monetary system:Should market freedom or political correctness?If the Federal Reserve completely “Trumped”, Bitcoin’s $200,000 path may be unobstructed, but what follows may be the smoke and dust of the collapse of the dollar’s hegemony.

For the leeks, this is both an opportunity and a trap.remember:During the bull market, don’t forget who is filling the pool with water – and when the faucet is turned off, the first one must be the whale.

Operation Guide:

1. Join the community:Background reply”Enter the group”, get Fed candidate dynamics + real-time operation strategies.

2. Ambush spot: Focus on the layout of BTC, ETH and compliant stablecoin tracks (such as USDC issuer Circle).

3. Keep bullets: The new chairman’s debut in June 2026 is the decisive moment.