jakiro
Author: Revc
The AI Agent track has attracted a large number of investors due to extreme volatility recently, and its high yield potential has shaped a unique trading experience.MEME transactions are stimulating by the “balance roller coaster jump”, and the instantly released dopamine is exciting and addictive, and investors are tested on the psychological and emotional level.
For investors, while enjoying the benefits brought by market fluctuations, they need to be vigilant against the erosion of addictive psychology and avoid falling into emotional operations.At the same time, by in-depth research on the long-term value and technical potential of the project, a more stable investment direction can be found in the fluctuations.The market needs to be rational and passionate, rather than being dominated by a single stimulus.
Currently, MEME project screening follows two lines, “speculation” and value discovery. This article analyzes high-frequency “speculative” operation methods to reveal how professional MEME creators consume investors’ energy and principal.
1Hour15Double the case
Taking MEME token Agora as an example, investors initially judged that the project had the potential to rise, and then conducted Scalping trading arbitrage. Multiple Scalping transactions made the investor’s principal double quickly, and this is just the beginning, after the penultimate purchase.Agora quickly pulled up to a 15-fold increase in 30 minutes. Since the trading interface on the web side did not have a stop-profit and stop loss, the actual profit was far from 15-fold. However, under the stimulation of the 15-fold increase, investors fell into a cycle of continued speculation, and eventuallyLosses were lost in fluctuations.
PS: Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy in which traders make profits by capturing short-term price fluctuations in stocks, futures or other financial instruments.ScalpingThe core concept is to use short-term fluctuations in the market to quickly enter and exit transactions, obtaining smaller profits per transaction, but accumulate returns through multiple transactions.
30Analysis in seconds10Minute principal is zeroed“Strategy”
MEME trading is a high-intensity game of information capture and rapid execution, while PVP trading has evolved into a framework-based indicator system for screening projects.In this mode, the analysis and execution are extremely compressed and usually only take a few minutes to complete, especially when the project’s market value has just reached the N times the market value (approximately $68,000).At this time, N is usually less than 10, that is, the market value is less than US$600,000, and the market competition is extremely fierce.However, once the project rises and falls, such new markets are often quickly abandoned by investors and their popularity plummets.
1. Project judgment and filtering: In the new market page, sorting according to the launch time. At this time, the project usually has the characteristics of 3-5 times the market value, and the blue chip index is in the range of 0-1.2%.When filtering first-level pages quickly, you can focus on the following indicators: fast growth in address counts, low market value (avoiding the selection of projects with a market value of tens of millions of dollars), and no sharp pullbacks in the 1-5-minute period and stillIn projects that continue to set new highs.
2. Release time: 30 minutes is usually a key dividing line. Most projects will start to show signs of smashing and closing the network about 30 minutes after release (data is taken from around 6 pm Beijing time).
3. Market value size: Projects with a market value of around $300,000 are usually more reasonable, while projects with a market value of $10 million may have a higher risk of running away.
4. Runaway risk: The GMGN platform will mark the developer’s operation records in historical projects, such as withdrawing pools, smashing disks, or the developer’s runaway. These marks are important indicators for evaluating project stability.
5. Blue chip index: As a growth indicator, the blue chip index reflects investors’ purchasing power and community consensus by analyzing the blue chip tokens held by investors, providing an indirect basis for judging the health status of the project.
6.Order Book Health Indicators(X=Trading volume/Market value): Usually in the early stage of the project,XThe value is close to2, and then the change trend of the lower opening parabola appears.When the parabola reaches its peak, trading volume hits a new high and market capitalization approaches cycle highs, which usually indicatesPVPThe trading activity reached its climax.After that, the transaction volume declined and the market value decreased.“Smart funds”Start evacuation.
In addition, the token can be made based on the transaction volume.For example, a hit new high in a single transaction amount may mean the entry of large funds, which has positive significance for the market.However, many trading platforms have not yet provided statistics on the trend changes or transaction frequency of a single transaction amount, and relying solely on transaction volume data may not be enough to fully analyze market trends.
7. Traders with bids: Usually the top MEME community and DEX platform, which reflects whether the promotion and promotion cover the mainstream community, but usually the speed of withdrawing pools is faster.
8. TOP10 address indicator: This indicator is used to analyze the top ten addresses of token holdings, and their positions account for the proportion of the total supply.Generally speaking, the holding ratio of the top ten addresses is healthier than 20%, indicating that the token distribution is more scattered, the community consensus is strong, and the risk of selling is relatively low.
9. Earning Expectation Formula: As the token market value grows from $300,000 to $3 million, its success rate is often extremely low.Investors usually invest 1-10 SOL in a single project, however excessive liquidity may lead to a surge in price, triggering greed among holders and quickly taking profits.For example, if the success rate of the investor screening is P=10%, and the funds return to zero after failure, then calculated as 1/P=10, a single project needs to achieve a rate of return of 1,000% to achieve break-even.In this case, projects with a market value of hundreds of thousands of dollars are more like a probability game.
10. New Coin Priority Strategy: As the filtering and analysis framework of MEME tokens becomes mature, creators tend to issue new tokens to make it easier to manipulate relevant indicators.This new currency issuance model not only caters to the market’s preference for “innovation”, but also increases the possibility of attracting capital inflows in the short term.
11. The same concept, priority is Base: Taking the Percy concept promoted by Musk as an example, the Base network performed significantly better than Solana.This is because most of the users of the Base network are veteran DeFi users, and their purchasing power is usually 3-4 times that of Solana users.In addition, whales are more frequently introduced on transactions on Base, which further enhances its market performance and liquidity.
12. Double this strategy: Since PVP is a high-frequency and high-risk trading model, users are susceptible to emotional fluctuations in the process.The “double the money” strategy is a relatively scientific and less psychological burden.By retrieving the initial investment after doubled earnings, investors can more easily hold the remaining assets for a long time, thus getting rid of the stress and troubles caused by short-term emotional fluctuations.
13. Analysis of motivation for pool adjustment: In medium and large projects, investors usually divide tokens and SOL into trading pairs to invest in Raydium liquidity pools to obtain up to 999.99% of 24-hour APR.The core essence of DeFi is short volatility, and when a unilateral market occurs in paired assets, liquidity providers may face impermanent losses.Investors increase liquidity pool assets usually means that they are optimistic about the short-term increase in the corresponding assets, but the range may be limited, reflecting the signal of short-term consolidation.When investors reduce pool assets, they often take a bearish attitude towards a certain asset, which may be accompanied by selling or re-adjusting the exchange ratio of the asset.
14. Action observation of new addresses: Regular market making is regarded as a red flag. If large amounts of money are used to buy and sell, you can also study the trading habits of the developer’s address.
By understanding the above methods, after a preliminary analysis of internal disk projects, then congratulations, you are about to fall into your careerMEMEIn the trap of traders, they will create a perfect one on the indicatorsMEME, conform to your project analysis and screening framework, and then create a story.AI+Founder interaction+The various hacker-selling, coupled with the emotional ups and downs caused by high-frequency trading, have quickly lost their judgment on the project, the discipline of trading is broken, and losses follow.So this article is a“MEMEArticles on addiction”No matter which channel the investor knows“Wealth Code”, the information difference still exists becausePVPSomeone must take over, soWeb3New users should avoid getting addicted toMEMETrack, slowly cultivate the ability to discover value.
For framework AI Agent projects, you can follow the Forks page in the GitHub code base to see which projects reference Eliza’s code.But even so, it is necessary to carefully evaluate the development progress and actual potential of the project to avoid blindly following the trend of investment.
The last MEME impact suggestion – arrange your time reasonably and pay attention to rest!!
summary
MEME trading is not only a test of innovation and risk tolerance, but also fully demonstrates the potential of cutting-edge concepts such as AI Agent in technological breakthroughs and decentralized narratives.This type of high-volatility market provides keen investors with opportunities to make quick profits, and also promotes the exploration and development of blockchain technology, token economic models and AI application scenarios.In this environment, investors need to continuously optimize their real-time decision-making capabilities and market adaptability, so as to find advantageous strategies in high-risk markets and apply them.
However, the high-frequency volatility of the MEME market also contains great risks.Severe price fluctuations can easily induce emotional trading, causing investors to fall into a cycle of “blind speculation”.The dopamine pleasure brought by short-term returns may make people ignore the logic of long-term value investment, and excessive reliance on short-term trading often leads to substantial losses in principal.Especially those projects that lack solid technical support or real application scenarios are likely to become pure speculative tools after their popularity fades, causing investors to suffer high losses.This loss not only hits individual investment confidence, but may also have a negative impact on the healthy development of the entire crypto industry, further aggravating market instability.
For investors, rationality and long-term perspectives are particularly important.When participating in MEME transactions, technical analysis and project value mining should be combined to avoid being swept by short-term fluctuations.Only by finding a balance between risk and return can truly sustainable profits be achieved in this highly volatile market.
